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The media outlets that never pick the winner
Among outlets with at least six tracked awards, Diehard Gamefan (United States) has the lowest agreement rate in the database: only 0% of its 13 Game of the Year picks matched the game that ended up with the most awards that season.
An outlet disagreeing with the consensus is doing its job, not failing at it. These are the votes that make the count worth doing — if every publication picked the same game, one ceremony would be enough.
What the agreement rate is actually measuring
Across the 373 outlets with enough tracked picks to rank, the median agreement rate is 44.4%. So the typical outlet lines up with the eventual leader about half the time — which is roughly what a median winning share of around half the season implies. Agreement at that level is not conformity; it is two measurements of the same thing.
- 44.4%Median agreement rate
- 83Outlets agreeing under a third of the time
- 21Agreeing more than four times in five
- 373Outlets with enough picks to rank
Read the bottom of the table with the count beside it. An outlet with six tracked awards can reach 0% by disagreeing six times, and six decisions is a house style at best — it is not a track record. The outlets worth arguing with are the ones low on this list and high on the award count, because they have disagreed repeatedly and in public.
Disagreement travels in groups
Contrarian picks are not scattered randomly across the world. The outlets at the top of this list cluster by country, because a national press reads a season through the releases and the platforms its own readers own — which is the same effect measured from the other side on the countries that disagree with the world.
This counts outlets, not people. A country with many small sites will appear more often than one with a few large ones, and nothing here says a nation's readers disagreed — only that the publications we can source did. The coverage is uneven by country in ways that shape this ranking.
Updated 2 October 2026 · Source: the Meta Awards database, where every award row cites where it was published.